The Theory That I Never Stick To
I have stated on public record that I am always nervous for my team the week after they flog an opposing team. I have found two things happen the week after a flogging:
- The 'Flogger' appears a bit flat and is slow off the blocks. Depending on the opposition they might still win.
- The 'Flogee' players inspired footy after the embarrassment of the previous week and either have a hard fought win or an 'honourable loss'
Recent Evidence
- Kangaroos: First week of finals against Geelong get flogged by 106pts only wear out a fired up Hawthorn the week after by 33pts
- Hawthorn: Flogged by Sydney in Rnd 22 by 72pts. They looked out of their depth in big matches yet came beck from a 30 pnt deficit to down Adelaide in the first week of finals by 3pts
- Sydney: As stated they flogged Hawthorn in Rnd 22 and looked the red hot favourite with momentum on their side. Not to be however as they let Collingwood in the first week of the finals skip out to a 31pt head start, ultimately winning by 38pts
This has happened countless time but do you think I follow my own theory. No, and as result I get 1 correct tip out of 4 in the first week and 1 out of 2 in the second.
Beware the embarrassed team, unless it is Carlton.
Beware the embarrassed team, unless it is Carlton.
Labels:
AFL
3 comments:
Carlton, the Old Dark Navy Floggees ... has a nice ring to it.
So do you reckon that Geelong are a shoe-in this week Tim?
Based on theory yes Geelong are a shoe-in. Port had the easy match and will start slow out of the blocks and that will be enough to keep them a comfortable distance away from the prize.
Good call, I reckon a 20-odd goal margin could be called "comfortable". :-)
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