Wednesday, September 5, 2007

AFL Finals

We are in for a classic finals series. All games could realistically go either way and none can be tipped with any great confidence.

Friday Night - Port Adelaide Vs West Coast (AAMI Stadium)
Port Adelaide have exceeded everyone's expectations this year. That's not to say they don't have a quality side. They are firing at the right end of the season. But so are the Eagles. They are injury depleted but Judd is back and should be able to contribute more than he has in previous weeks. The game is played in Adelaide but will that be enough to counter the class from the west.

Saturday Afternoon - Hawthorn Vs Adelaide (Telstra Dome)
Hawthorn will be excited about being in thier first finals series for many years. They will also want to avenge their deplorable performance against Sydney last week. That's usually not the way you like to go into a finals campaign. Although I have always suggested that the flogged team usually bites back while the flogging team can be a bit flat the next week.

Adelaide is wanting to extend the playing career of arguably their best player ever in Mark Ricciuto. He deserves to go out with a bang but will they progress much further? My gut says they will at least for one more week.
Saturday Night - Collingwood Vs Sydney (MCG)
Remember what I said about the flogging team being a bit flat? Well Sydney flogged Hawthorn by about 70 points and were never really challenged except for a small period in the third quarter where Hawthorn decreased the margin to 40 instead of 70. The margin went straight back up in the 4th quarter anyway. However. I would rather go into finals with a good win like the one against Hawthorn.

Collingwood played Sydney a couple of weeks ago in an emotionally charged match with Nathan Buckley making his big return. They won fairly convincingly then, but this time I think they won't be as cocky after the Swans performance against the Hawks. It was infinitely better so they will be facing a different side this time.

It will be close, and my tip is that I will have a coronary prior to the finish.

Sunday Afternoon - Geelong Vs Kangaroos (MCG)

Geelong should win, that's the plain and simple truth. But the Kangaroos will go into the match with a 'nothing to lose' attitude. They have already over achieved this year anyway so a loss to the top side will be no disgrace, unless they lose by 100 points.

Geelong has lost key defender Matthew Egan. Filling this void will be crucial to their momentum through the finals and potential premiership glory.

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